Team:British Columbia/Model2

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(MODEL 2: Dynamics of Mountain Pine Beetle Populations in British Columbia)
(MODEL 2: Dynamics of Mountain Pine Beetle Populations in British Columbia)
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<b>Model Advisors:</b> Shing Zhan </br></br>
<b>Model Advisors:</b> Shing Zhan </br></br>
<b>Model Coder:</b> Samuel Wu </br></br>
<b>Model Coder:</b> Samuel Wu </br></br>
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<b><a href="https://static.igem.org/mediawiki/2011/5/52/Beetle_Epidemic_Model.pdf">Download model methodology</b></a></br></br>
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Revision as of 03:50, 28 September 2011

Team: British Columbia - 2011.igem.org

MODEL 2: Dynamics of Mountain Pine Beetle Populations in British Columbia

Modeling the mountain pine beetle epidemic using a probabilistic clustering approach



OBJECTIVE:
To predict the impact of the mountain pine beetle (MPB) epidemic on the lodgepole pinetree population in British Columbia (BC), we developed a mathematical model that describes the spread of the MPB population across BC from 1999-2010. We applied the model to simulate the spread of the Mountain Pine Beetle (MPB) in the upcoming 10 years from 2010-2020 . Then, we used the model to predict key locations in BC where we may install the iSynthase “TrapBox” product to effectively control the MPB epidemic. Lastly, we propose a formula to estimate the cost required to implement a MPB control strategy.

Model Creators: Jacob Toth, Joe Ho, Samuel Wu

Model Advisors: Shing Zhan

Model Coder: Samuel Wu

Download model methodology

The Beetle's Strategy

Ubcigemmodel2comic2.jpg

Our Strategy

Ubcigemmodel2comic.jpg